Illustration of illustrated moving vans driving along a highway with a cityscape in the background.

People are still moving away from large cities, while mid-sized cities are growing

Written by:
Data work by:
Elena Cox
November 2, 2023
Photo Illustratioin by 麻豆原创 // Canva

This story originally appeared on CitizenShipper and was produced and distributed in partnership with 麻豆原创 Studio.

People are still moving away from large cities, while mid-sized cities are growing

The exodus from major metropolitan areas that peaked during the COVID-19 pandemic鈥攚hen people fled large cities in part due to pandemic restrictions, small living spaces, and the high cost of rent and real estate鈥攊s continuing. Census data shows that interstate migration rates are sliding back to pre-pandemic rates, but the trend of moving to smaller cities may last longer than anticipated.

examined domestic migration trends from the to see where Americans moved between 2021 and 2022.

Population drain is still an issue for the country's largest cities, particularly New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago. Affordable housing remains , according to the National Association of Realtors. Despite climate change , the Sun Belt is still a big winner in attracting newcomers, thanks to warmer weather, relatively affordable housing, low tax rates, and robust job growth. Counties with a large university student population have made a comeback as students return to living at school.

Smaller cities also offer a slower pace of life, an attractive option for adults with children and senior citizens. A recent public radio panel that included faculty from the University of Minnesota's Department of Community Development and Middlebury College in Vermont鈥攚hich is nestled in a community of less than 10,000鈥攏oted that , who consistently seek a place to live that offers safety, community, and more access to outdoor recreation.

A map showing which counties gained and lost population due to domestic migration.
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How domestic migration has changed since 2020

People are still leaving California, Illinois, and New York, but less so than during the height of the pandemic. The Census Bureau reports that while left Los Angeles County between July 2020 and July 2021, that number dropped to the following year, a drop of nearly 50%. Return to work mandates could be stemming the tide鈥擭ew York County, New York, home to Manhattan, had a slight net gain, with nearly 3,000 people moving in.

A bar chart showing which counties gained and lost the largest population due to domestic migration.
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Counties with the largest gains and losses

Maricopa County, Arizona, home to Phoenix, maintains its spot atop the list of fastest-growing counties in the country. Even though it has a reputation for brutally hot summers鈥攊n 2023, Phoenix residents endured a 31-day streak of temperatures 110 degrees or higher鈥攊ts year-round warm climate is a draw for many. The gainers on this list also benefit from policies that encourage new housing development鈥擧ouston in Harris County, Texas, for the most new home construction in 2023, per the Chamber of Commerce.

Story editing by Brian Budzynski. Copy editing by Tim Bruns. 

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