The US flag atop the White House lowered to half-staff after political activist Charlie Kirk had died on September 10, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Why the political blame game starts moments after a shooting

October 10, 2025
Kent Nishimura // Getty Images

Why the political blame game starts moments after a shooting

Since Columbine, more than a quarter century ago, high-profile shootings have sparked national debate about what laws, if any, could have prevented the bloodshed, and the place of guns in society. Over the years, these tragedies have also inspired hand-wringing over other factors that may be at play. It started with heavy metal music and video games, and soon it turned to psychiatric medications. Now it鈥檚 radicalization on the dark web, reports.

But in recent years, most acutely during the Trump era, a different type of debate has taken hold over the shooter鈥檚 and politics. The question, 鈥淚s the shooter a Democrat or Republican?鈥 has come to dominate discussion following Charlie Kirk鈥檚 September 10 assassination during the first stop of his speaking tour at Utah Valley University. In the wake of the right-wing podcaster鈥檚 death, Republicans and conservative influencers have for the fatal shooting and have been calling for vengeance:

鈥淭he only way [the left] can silence [conservative] voices is through violence,鈥 U.S. Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa said on .

鈥淒emocrats own what happened today,鈥 U.S. Representative Nancy Mace of South Carolina a group of reporters assembled on Capitol Hill after Kirk鈥檚 killing.

Democrats 鈥渕ost certainly鈥 caused Kirk鈥檚 death, U.S. Representative Anna Paulina Luna of Florida told .

Meanwhile, some Kirk critics on social media happiness at the killing, arguing that he courted danger with his rhetoric, which at times slighted and the .

Kirk was also a staunch of gun rights, and some critics noted the irony of his death by gunshot. Republicans seized on this, conflating left-leaning social media users with Democrat lawmakers and influencers 鈥 who Kirk鈥檚 murder.

How did we get here?

The right-vs.-left paradigm is a relatively new one.

Affixing blame along political lines after a significant shooting allows lawmakers to sidestep a conversation about gun access, mental health, and the socioeconomic underpinnings of gun violence in America, according to experts, advocates, and survivors interviewed by The Trace.

Josh Horwitz, co-director of Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Violence Solutions and a former longtime gun reform lobbyist on Capitol Hill, said if we鈥檙e talking about the politics of shooters, we are no longer talking about other factors that contribute to the shooting. We鈥檝e stopped talking about gun control, a conversation that used to routinely follow public mass shootings.

He named four mass shootings 鈥 the 2018 Pittsburgh synagogue shooting, the 2022 Buffalo supermarket shooting, the 2022 Uvalde school shooting, and President Trump鈥檚 2024 shooting 鈥 that could have been prevented if there were stronger regulations.

Horwitz also said a red flag law, under the right conditions, might have disarmed Kirk鈥檚 shooter, if Utah .

鈥淲hen it comes to political violence, we need to make the public square safe,鈥 he said. The way we can do that, he added, is through stronger gun regulations. 鈥淎nd that means no firearms in judicial buildings, no firearms in polling places, keep guns out of legislatures, allow people to participate and feel safe.鈥

But none of those potential solutions appear to be breaking through to the national discourse. Instead, there is finger-pointing and recriminations.

鈥2016 is probably when the partisan identity lens became routine, supercharged by platforms designed to amplify it,鈥 said James Densley, co-founder of the Violence Prevention Project Research Center at Hamline University in Minnesota, which profiles mass public shooters to identify risk factors and points of intervention.

That鈥檚 the year Trump won the presidency 鈥 and algorithms on social media began siloing us into echo chambers. This division has financial incentives, Densley said. 鈥淪ocial media is built to monetize attention, and conflict is its most valuable currency. Before a motive is known, speculation about race, gender, or politics fills the vacuum because it generates outrage and engagement.鈥

It鈥檚 not surprising that the conversation would turn to political motivations when the targets are lawmakers. After the 2017 congressional baseball practice shooting, which left Representative Steve Scalise of Louisiana critically injured, 鈥渢he shooter鈥檚 anti-Trump politics were front-page news,鈥 Densley said. That shooting, which left six people wounded, 鈥渜uickly became political,鈥 The Washington Post at the time.

But the politics of the shooter are now also questioned after every high-profile shooting.

The media seized on the fact that the perpetrator of the 2019 massacre at an El Paso Walmart left behind a far-right manifesto, and the Dayton bar shooting a couple of days later was carried out by someone who鈥檇 himself a 鈥渓eftist鈥 on social media. 鈥淩ecent attacks on President Donald Trump, and now the killing of Charlie Kirk, have made party identity the opening question, not the closing footnote,鈥 Densely said.

He said that鈥檚 by design.

鈥淭he 鈥榩olitical guessing game鈥 after a shooting isn鈥檛 accidental,鈥 he said. 鈥淚deology gives a shooting a neat package: it explains it away. If you can pin the violence on left or right, you don鈥檛 have to grapple with deeper drivers like access to firearms, social isolation, or how youth are forming para-social relationships with past shooters, who are recast as models to imitate.鈥

Some argue that the right-left framing isn鈥檛 even accurate. 鈥淛ust because you vote for a Democrat doesn鈥檛 mean that you鈥檙e likely to go commit political violence,鈥 Horwitz said. 鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot of other variables going on.鈥

Instead of politics, people the national conversation on the role of the internet in radicalizing shooters, experts say. Several mass shooters were radicalized online, including the 2015 Charleston church shooter; the 2018 Pittsburgh synagogue shooter; the 2022 Club Q nightclub shooter; and the Colorado high school shooter earlier this month.

And there鈥檚 no evidence that Kirk鈥檚 killing was connected to any broader group or organized movement on either the left or the right. The suspect appears to follow in the mold of the 鈥渓one wolf鈥 shooter, possibly in the echo chambers of the dark web, according to news reports and . He might also be the latest in a long line of killers 鈥 and looking to inspire others.

But the facts of the case might not be heard over the back-and-forth politics or the calls for revenge. If enough people believe that we鈥檝e crossed a line into a violent new era, they might start to act accordingly, said Garen Wintemute, an emergency physician and director of the Centers for Violence Prevention at the University of California, Davis, who conducts on Americans鈥 willingness to embrace political violence.

鈥淢y concern is that鈥檚 the kind of perception that makes its own reality,鈥 he said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not inevitable, but we might make it happen.鈥

Horwitz, of Johns Hopkins, agrees that tit-for-tat violence is not inevitable, but it鈥檚 up to every American, regardless of political party, to block out the noise.

鈥淲e just all have to tone down our rhetoric,鈥 he said. 鈥淏ecause we don鈥檛 know who鈥檚 listening and what they may take from it.鈥 And federal officials must 鈥渦nequivocally condemn political violence,鈥 he said. 鈥淭hat matters. Stop the permission structure.鈥

Some Republican lawmakers have been doing exactly that:

Utah Governor Spencer Cox the Minnesota lawmaker shootings and the attempted assassination of PA Gov. Josh Shapiro and urged everyone to tone down the rhetoric.

Nebraska GOP Rep. said he wished President Trump would unite the country after the Kirk shooting.

GOP Senator said 鈥淭he time for unity and peace is now.鈥 She has consistently denounced political violence, about Minnesota lawmaker Melissa Hortman鈥檚 death in June: 鈥淧olitical violence has no place in our nation.鈥

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