Here鈥檚 how US tariffs may affect home prices in 2025
Here鈥檚 how US tariffs may affect home prices in 2025
New tariffs are set to increase the , buying, and renovating homes鈥攃reating another barrier in an already tough housing market. , a new home listings site with customer reviews, breaks down how tariffs will impact homebuyers.
Why it matters: With high and low inventory, homebuyers are already struggling. Now, tariffs will raise prices even further.
鈥淎 lot of the uncertainty [in the ] comes down to tariffs,鈥 says New Home Source chief economist Ali Wolf.
What鈥檚 happening: The U.S. government is imposing tariffs up to 25% on key goods from Mexico and Canada. from 145% to 30% as of May 14, 2025, for a span of 90 days. On June 11, President Donald Trump said the U.S. and China reached an agreement, with tariffs on Chinese imports set at 55%.
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Key materials affected by tariffs:
- Lumber: A 25% tariff on Canadian goods adds to an existing 14.5% duty, raising softwood lumber prices by nearly 40%.
- Concrete, cement, gypsum: About 25% of the U.S. supply is imported, mainly from Canada and Mexico.
- Steel and aluminum: Both materials, essential for framing and roofing, are now subject to a 25% tariff.
- Appliances and fixtures: Many products are sourced from China, with price increases expected.
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Impact on homebuyers:
- Higher material costs are often passed directly to consumers.
- Industry experts say construction costs could rise 4% to 6%.
- That adds $5,000 to $20,000 to the price of a .
- Builders surveyed by the in March estimate a smaller, but still notable, $9,200 increase.
- Todd Tomalak, Zonda鈥檚 principal, advisory of building products, says 鈥渋ncluding a 2.5% baseline rate [of inflation], tariffs could increase the cost of building materials by 9%.鈥濃
and those looking for affordable homes will feel it most.
鈥淲e鈥檙e in an environment where affordability is stretched and we don鈥檛 want to be adding to any additional costs. Tariffs could play a role in making that worse,鈥 says Wolf.
鈥淭he tariff impact isn鈥檛 isolated to just new homes, though,鈥 adds Wolf. 鈥淚f you are considering an existing home that needs to be remodeled, you might be surprised with how much money the whole project will cost.鈥
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Differing opinions on cost increases due to tariffs
The National Association of Home Builders鈥 estimates tariffs could add to the cost of a typical new home. However, in , data points to the cost only rising by $5,000.
Given the flux surrounding global tariffs, it鈥檚 difficult to predict a static number for the coming months.
Where prices are already increasing
Manufacturers may continue to raise prices regardless of tariffs. Tomalak reports that the three major roofer manufacturers 鈥 Owens Corning, CertainTeed, and GAF 鈥 have already raised prices between 7% to 10% as of April 1.
Will tariffs affect other areas of a new home purchase such as insurance?
The short answer 鈥 probably yes.
鈥淭ariffs on imported building materials will increase the cost of , which will raise home insurance premiums,鈥 says Insurify鈥檚 Matt Brannon.
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The bottom line
While homebuyers are already aware of the high prices of new homes, particularly in a post-COVID world, themselves for a new additional expense in the form of tariffs being applied to building products, fixtures, and appliances.
With additional reporting from Carmen Chai.
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