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Is it a buyer鈥檚 or seller鈥檚 market?

June 12, 2025
Updated on July 23, 2025
William Potter // Shutterstock

Is it a buyer鈥檚 or seller鈥檚 market?

The U.S. housing market finally favors homebuyers, but few can afford it.

The is well underway, and it鈥檚 a weird one. There are more homes for sale than there have been in years, but due to high prices. Sellers are realizing they鈥檙e no longer in charge, with many offering concessions.

It鈥檚 a sharp reversal from the pandemic-era boom. Back then, remote work and ultra-low mortgage rates warped the housing market from balanced into a . By 2021, buyers outnumbered sellers by 900,000, fueling bidding wars and pushing prices higher.

But power has shifted. After two years of rising mortgage rates, home sellers began to outnumber buyers in late 2023. This gap has now widened to nearly 500,000 鈥 the largest on records dating back to 2013 鈥 as , according to Redfin.

Nationally, it鈥檚 鈥 even though for some, it doesn鈥檛 feel like it. But trends vary from city to city, as high prices and borrowing costs keep demand in check. Here,  shares what to know about buyer鈥檚 versus seller鈥檚 markets, how to tell which market you鈥檙e in, and where each side has the most leverage right now.

What is a buyer鈥檚 market versus a seller鈥檚 market?

Buyer鈥檚 market

One sign of a buyer鈥檚 market is when supply (the number of homes listed on the market) exceeds demand (the number of buyers looking for homes). When this is the case, buyers usually drive negotiations and are more likely to receive concessions.

Home prices often cool off in a buyer鈥檚 market, which can ironically help spur competition and swing the pendulum back toward sellers.

Seller鈥檚 market

A seller鈥檚 market often occurs when demand exceeds supply. Buyers outnumber sellers, creating more competition and fueling bidding wars. Sellers typically lead negotiations and see homes sell for above asking.

House prices tend to rise during a seller鈥檚 market.

The strongest buyer鈥檚 markets in 2025

Sellers outnumber buyers by the most in these 10 metros, giving buyers more leverage.

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Table listing the metros where sellers most outnumber buyers.
Redfin


The Sun Belt 鈥 cities stretching from the Southeast to the Southwest 鈥 , as homebuyers searched for warm weather and affordable prices. as a result, but many houses are now struggling to sell; buyer demand dropped due to quickly rising prices, climate risks, and climbing insurance costs. Florida鈥檚 housing inventory reached its this year.

The strongest seller鈥檚 markets in 2025

Buyers outnumber sellers by the most in these metros, meaning sellers may be able to net a higher sale price than in a neutral market. Redfin defined a 鈥渟eller鈥檚 market鈥 as one where the buyers outnumbered sellers by at least 10%, and only seven metros made the cut.

The Rust Belt 鈥 cities across the Midwest and Northeast 鈥 have built the fewest homes since the pandemic. Now, as people for homes they can afford, supply is falling far short of what鈥檚 needed and pushing prices up. In Newark, for example, prices rose by 12.2% year over year to hit a record-high median sale price of $635,000 in April.

How to tell if you鈥檙e in a buyer鈥檚 or seller鈥檚 market

Even if the national housing market favors buyers or sellers, individual cities and regions usually vary widely. Sometimes, even adjacent neighborhoods will have completely different trends. That鈥檚 why it鈥檚 important to do your research to understand which way your market leans.

Talk with a local agent

Local real estate agents know the market the best. They have up-to-date knowledge on how long homes are sitting on the market, whether sellers are cutting prices, and how competitive offers are. An experienced agent can tell you if buyers have the upper hand or if sellers are still in control, and help you make informed decisions in your neighborhood.

Check housing inventory

One common way to gauge which way a market leans is to look at 鈥渕onths of supply鈥 鈥 the number of months it would take for available inventory to sell at the current rate. Supply below four months tends to favor sellers, while supply above five months tends to favor buyers.

Track sale price trends

Price growth often accelerates during a seller鈥檚 market and cools during a buyer鈥檚 market, sometimes even causing home prices to fall. If prices are growing and show no signs of slowing down, you鈥檙e probably in a seller鈥檚 market.

Look at mortgage rates

play a huge role in the housing market: Typically, the higher the rates, the less buyers shop for homes, making sellers more desperate for offers. This is the case today, which is putting buyers in the driver鈥檚 seat.

What buyers should do in a buyer鈥檚 and seller鈥檚 market

  • In a buyer鈥檚 market: This is the ideal time for buyers to make a move, if they can afford to. Home prices may decline, listings stay on the market longer, and sellers are more likely to negotiate. You may see price reductions, seller concessions, or repairs included to close the deal. With less competition, buyers have more leverage to at a better price.
  • In a seller鈥檚 market: Sellers hold the upper hand, and competition among buyers can be fierce. Homes sell quickly and often attract multiple offers, which can drive prices above asking. If you鈥檙e buying in a seller鈥檚 market, be prepared to act fast and make . Trying to negotiate too aggressively could cost you the home.

What sellers should do in a buyer鈥檚 and seller鈥檚 market

  • In a buyer鈥檚 market: Selling becomes more challenging when inventory is high and demand is low. Homes tend to sit on the market longer 鈥 in fact, the average home today takes over 40 days to sell, and have sat for 60 or more days. To attract buyers, sellers should price competitively and remain flexible.
  • In a seller鈥檚 market: This is a great time to sell. Homes typically move quickly, and competition among buyers can lead to multiple offers, bidding wars, or offers above asking price. With high demand and limited inventory, sellers have the upper hand and are more likely to get favorable terms, including waived contingencies and minimal concessions.

Looking forward

Economic uncertainty continues to throw a wrench into the housing market, with tariffs, an unsteady stock market, and inflation all playing a role. Homebuilding is , and mortgage rates are unlikely to fall this year.

But there are positives on the horizon. In part because housing costs are so high and so few homes are selling, prices have started leveling out and in some places. that they will fall nationwide by the end of the year. Sellers are also increasingly coming to terms with 6% or higher mortgage rates, helping inventory improve.

The prolonged seller鈥檚 market is over, so serious buyers with the budget may want to act now while competition is low.

Methodology

Based on a May 2025 . All data covers the period of April 2025 and is seasonally adjusted, dating back to 2013. Please see the original report for the full methodology.

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